Heightened Security Risk: Arabian Gulf, Red Sea & Gulf of Aden Risk alerts Published: February 28, 2026 Download article pdf Background Members are advised of a material escalation in regional security risk following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian targets. The situation has increased the likelihood of retaliatory or proxy actions, with potential consequences for commercial shipping operating in, or transiting, the Arabian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The security environment remains highly dynamic, with limited warning times and a heightened risk of miscalculation, misidentification and collateral damage. Current Threat Picture Arabian Gulf / Strait of Hormuz Ongoing military operations have resulted in maritime warning notices advising extreme caution. Vessels face increased risks from military activity, electronic/GNSS interference, misidentification and proximity to naval units. The safety of neutral shipping cannot be guaranteed during periods of active operations.   Red Sea / Gulf of Aden While Houthi forces have at times paused attacks, multiple intelligence and industry assessments indicate that this further escalation involving Iran is likely to trigger renewed or expanded Houthi operations against shipping, Particularly those vessels with U.S. or Israeli affiliations. Threats may include UAVs, missiles, USVs, small craft approaches and indirect fire, with risks extending beyond vessels with clear affiliations. Members are reminded that vessel affiliation (flag, ownership, management, cargo, recent port calls or perceived links) may influence threat exposure, however non affiliated vessels may still be at risk. Crew Welfare and Mental Health The Club reiterates concerns previously raised regarding the psychological impact on seafarers operating in warlike and high threat environments. Prolonged heightened alert states, uncertainty and exposure to security incidents can lead to mental anguish, fatigue and impaired de